08 February 2005

Angry Mullahs

Why am I not surprised at all?

Iran and the EU go into talks on Iran's nuclear program in Geneva Tuesday in flat disagreement over the most crucial point -- Tehran's abandoning uranium enrichment in order to guarantee it is not trying to make atomic weapons.

And time is pressing. A European diplomat told AFP that both sides are "complaining about a lack of speed" in reaching an accord.

Iran is waiting for incentive rewards, such as entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO). The United States would have to support this but it is not part of the European initiative and leads the West in charging that Iran is secretly developing nuclear weapons.

The Europeans meanwhile expect the Islamic Republic to give up work on making enriched uranium, which can be used as fuel for atomic power reactors but also the core for nuclear weapons.

Okay, so this article serves primarily as a refresher for anyone who's had their head in the sand, vis a vis Iran, for the past few months. However, there are a few telling lines later on.

Iran is currently suspending all uranium enrichment-related activities to fulfill its part of a deal clinched in November with the European trio, the so-called EU3, for talks aimed at giving the Islamic Republic trade, security and technology bonuses.

The meeting in Geneva will be the third round of talks since they began in December in Brussels.

At the previous meeting in Geneva on January 17, Britain, France and Germany told Iran that "nothing short of full cessation and dismantling of Iran's fuel cycle efforts would give the EU3 the objective guarantees they need that Iran's nuclear program is peaceful," a diplomat has told AFP, reading from a confidential report on the meeting.

This is what I'll term the Clinton/Carter Effect. If you'll remember, President Carter received a Nobel Peace Prize for getting North Korea to terminate development of nuclear weapons in exchange for aid from the international community; unfortunately, North Korea continued clandestine development of nuclear weapons, and now has between eight and fifteen nukes.

The result from the side of the international community is that, as most of us could have told you before Chairman Kim built his nukes or Saddam Hussein was ousted, monitoring and verification of total disarmament is paramount;nothing can be accepted on "good faith".

From the side of the evil terrorist dictators (Saddam, Khomeini, Kim Jong Il, et al), the message was clear: continue developing illegal weapons, and use them as diplomatic collateral. When an evil terrorist dictator like Chairman Kim has a nuke at his disposal, he can use it to demand economic and humanitarian aid from his enemies.

Of course, all of this can be summed up with the same five words that summarize the late 1970's: "Thanks a lot, Jimmy Carter!"

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