28 November 2008

The Morning After

I hope everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving. As usual, mine was tolerable; and to be painfully honest, it's more tolerable with people who are near-complete strangers than it used to be at home. I do miss the food we used to have on the family farm, even if I miss basically none of the actual people I had to eat it with, or waiting two or three hours for it to be ready when we (my immediate family and I) were told it would be ready at a certain time. Basically, Thanksgiving is one of those holidays with a lot of potential that often gets botched because there are too many variables to coordinate. However, like I said, yesterday went fine for me, plus I pushed through what had turned into a tough chapter/sequence in my first spy novel (I think I'll just start calling them Mukh1 and Mukh2 on here), and now I can get back into the mix.

In lieu of a full and formal news post, I'm going to post bulleted links with short commentary.

  • IRA Rebels Raid Northern Ireland Gun Shop - Article claims that they stole handguns, but you can't own handguns in the UK, so someone needs to clarify the article. Interesting nonetheless, since the IRA is theoretically out of the violence business now.
  • Oil rises as Russia threatens cut - Russia's threatening to cut its oil output due to falling prices. Sorry, Russia, but the bubble's burst, and nobody has any sympathy because it was partly your fault in the first place.
  • Nato refuses to play Russian roulette with alliance enlargement - The article says that NATO won't let Ukraine and Georgia into the alliance due to events in August and September with Russia. Probably true, but this will further demonstrate NATO's growing impotence, and it's a disgrace.
  • The Biggest Boondoggle - The author thinks that American aircraft carriers are a waste of money, and that the Obama administration can save a ton of money by eliminating plans to build the next class of them. I disagree wholeheartedly with this, both with the guy's flawed appraisal of carriers' combat utility, and also because I've heard more than one Navy expert say that our fleets are underresourced as it is.

    Today's video is "Fireside(!)" by Barats and Bereta.



    Alright, folks, have a great weekend, and check back Monday for more wild action and exciting chaos from The Fly.
  • Fly Report: 28th November 2008

    Good morning. I really wish that I understood you.

    It's 2° Centigrade and partly cloudy in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 43° Fahrenheit with partial clouds.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $52.41. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 8726.61. The exchange rate is $1.52 for £1, or £0.66 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is cool, but not a picture. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 6. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    You put your lips to her lips to stop the lie.

    27 November 2008

    Thankful for Bullets Dodged

    This will be somewhat brief. I know I said that I wasn't going to post anything today, and I didn't intend to, but I just couldn't let this one go.

    When I was a senior in high school, I accompanied my parents on a business trip to New Orleans. I knew a handful of folks from New Orleans, Slidell, and Hammond from chatting on IRC and ICQ (which most of you probably don't even know about), and this was the perfect opportunity to meet them. I hung out with the girl I knew from New Orleans on a Saturday, and her mother (who was positively saintly) invited me to join them for church. After church the next day, she became one of the first girls I ever kissed. We chatted for a few weeks after that, but we lost contact after a while, and I always wondered what happened to her.

    I found her, married, on Facebook last night. She confirmed my friend request, and I went and looked, and hachi machi, did I dodge a bullet on that one. She's married with two kids now, and boy oh boy, did she balloon up. She was curvy to begin with in college, but I can't imagine finding her attractive now, unless she was my wife and those were my kids. It seems that for every jealous moment that Facebook inspires, it more than makes up with it by giving me visions of what my life - and wife - could have looked like.

    Happy Thanksgiving, folks!

    Battle of the Tech Hotties

    I'm going to forego the Fly Report tomorrow. In lieu of a Thursday post, here's a Wednesday evening post. Every now and again, I enjoy a conversation with one of my former co-workers, the Crypto King. This one was awesome, and CK gave me permission to post it with the proper redactions. Enjoy.

    Crypto King: I think the little Mexican lady who stock my potato chips here is about the hottest thing around.
    Crypto King: I just felt like sharing.
    The Fly:: We need to get you a webcam.
    Crypto King: I have a webcam, but I sit nowhere near the potato chips.
    The Fly:: Dang.
    Crypto King: yeah, I know.
    Crypto King: you'd be amazed at how many genius engineers are also hot chicks.
    The Fly:: Well, to be fair, I think that [Innovative Tech Giant] probably has a tendency to draw more than its fair share of genius engineers who are hot chicks.
    Crypto King: it happens quite a bit in this area.
    Crypto King: but [Innovative Tech Giant] does make it a point to go for equality in hiring, which attracts more women.
    The Fly:: I'm guessing that there's an office somewhere in the bowels of [Collapsing Tech Dynasty] headquarters where there are three bull dykes, someone androgynous, and some chick who's a ten when she's at a Battlestar Galactica convention and a six when she's at the supermarket*.
    The Fly:: Because you guys got their quota of hot chicks.
    Crypto King: well, I like to imagine they have lots of hot, but not-quite genius engineers.
    Crypto King: hot run-of-the-mill engineers if you will.
    The Fly:: I think those are called receptionists.
    The Fly:: Wait, no, administrative assistants.
    Crypto King: oh no, that's like [redacted] level of incompetence. I'm still talking about engineers.
    The Fly:: LOL

    26 November 2008

    Competitions of Irrelevant Trivia

    Hey folks! It's Wednesday! Tomorrow is Thanksgiving! Great success!

    More archaeology news today: archaeologists have unearthed a Roman era Thracian chariot in Bulgaria. Excellent!

    I always find it entertaining when professional media types who make good money do less exhaustive research than I do for a gig I don't even get paid for. Now, I only write specifically about Iraq and Afghanistan/Pakistan on occasion, but when I read an article about the death of Abu Zubair al Masri, an al Qaeda explosives expert in Afghanistan/Pakistan, and I saw a picture of Abu Ayyub al Masri, the head of al Qaeda in Iraq (and successor to Abu Musab al Zarqawi), my SOMEONE IS WRONG ON THE INTERNET sense went nuts. I E-Mailed the editor last night to inform the Times of their grievous error.

    The most ridiculous item of the day is that Russia is claiming the involvement of both American and Eastern European mercenaries in their August war in Georgia - which is to say that they're claiming that the Georgians were assisted. Danger Room has a great piece on previous Russian claims of mercenary involvement in such conflicts as the Chechen wars. The best line part is a piece that Wired writer Nathan Hodge quotes from an old Independent article:

    From the very start of the conflict in Chechnya, Moscow has been unable to admit that the Chechens could possibly be fighting on their own. To explain the debacle, Russian propaganda has paraded a far-fetched collection of bloodthirsty foreign mischief-makers, including Afghan mujahedin, Ukrainian Fascists, Islamic fanatics, Chechen migrants from Jordan and, in a crude flourish that smacks of sexually frustrated barrack-room fantasy, female snipers from the Baltics in white tights.

    Needless to say, I take stories of mercenary assistance to Georgia during Russia's extremely short notice war with a massive grain of salt; even so, the stories paint some great mental pictures, don't they?

    I'm not sure that I've ever posted this video before, but have a look.



    Now, look at this article from the Onion. The article is dated 2001, so I don't know whether the video is actually based on the article or not. However, I do know that being a recovering obsessive Star Trek fan helped me a lot more in college than knowing an endless stream of sports trivia ever would have. As a matter of fact, I only remember one sports trivia question that was ever on an exam, and I'm pretty sure it was the bonus question each and every one of the several times that I saw it (let's just say that Lieutenant Colonel Schoutter had a thing for football). Either way, the article and video are hilarious.

    It's unlikely that I'll do a regular blog post on Thanksgiving, so in the comments to today's post, tell me: what are you thankful for as we near the end of 2008? Have a great day, folks.

    Fly Report: 26th November 2008

    Good morning. Danke schön, darling, danke schön...

    It's 11° Centigrade and cloudy with wind in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 49° Fahrenheit with clouds.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $50.22. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 8479.47. The exchange rate is $1.53 for £1, or £0.65 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is cool, but not a picture. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 5. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    Still looking for the face I had before the world was made.

    25 November 2008

    Opium versus Pomegranates

    I'm going to switch things up a bit today by switching the news and general chicanery sections around, so I'll proceed with general chicanery first, and then post real world news. Sweet, huh?

    On Sunday afternoon, I was watching Revenge of the Sith, even though its plot makes no sense and it's quite possibly Natalie Portman's most annoying role to date. Anyway, I realized that I'd never posted any cool YouTube lightsaber duels before, despite having posted about Japanese crowd control lightsabers, and a number of hilarious Star Wars parodies (the best one being Jimmy Fallon's video from the 2005 Mtv Movie Awards). In order to remedy that, here's the legendary Ryan vs. Dorkman video.



    Last week, I received two packages that I'd been waiting for. The first was my birthday present from Mighty Mo: U2: The Ultimate Encyclopedia by Mark Chatterton. I know what some of you are thinking: "Hey, Fly, wasn't your birthday in July? That's like, half a year later!" Somehow, using methods unfamiliar to me, Mighty Mo is able to pull it off. Kudos to her. The second package was from Desert Rat Tim/"John T. Rourke", and it contained a number of noteworthy items. Here's a list.

  • my copy of Lone Survivor by Marcus Luttrell and Patrick Robinson (audiobook, not pictured, and apparently much cheaper now than what I paid for it then)
  • five rifle magazines
  • Blackhawk(!) rifle sling
  • two MRE Tabasco sauce bottles
  • one ketchup packet
  • one pink camouflage bandana (that I must now find a home for)
  • one whistle keychain
  • one lottery ticket scratcher keychain
  • one blank 5.56mm round
  • one rifle cleaning wire brush
  • one used velcro ACU name tape reading "Team America"
  • one set of ear plugs with case
  • one ear plug case
  • one brown glass jar
  • one used tube of sunscreen
  • one mostly-eaten package of fruit and nut mix
  • one emergency catheter

    It's worth noting that I paid him for the first couple of things, and the rest of it was sort of... Uh... Bonus stuff? I swear, I have the best friends ever. Thanks, DRT/JTR and Mighty Mo!

    Okay, now for the news.

    First, the light stuff: they claim to have found the spot where Romulus was murdered. So, as Professor Augustus would always say, the next time you're in Rome...

    There's some excellent news out of Afghanistan that actually shocks me: that guy who wrote that op-ed in the Guardian about how the Afghans ought to fight the heroin trade by growing pomegranates instead of opium? Well, apparently he was on to something because they're not only doing it, but it's working like gang busters - in Kandahar, of all places! Meanwhile, three Mauritanians have been jailed over ties to al Qaeda.

    The Iranians have had a couple of ships hijacked by the Somali pirates(!), so the Iranian government has said that they may send their navy... To fight Somali pirates! Somalia is just one of many failed or failing states in Africa, and the BBC actually has a great article (for once) about why African nations continue to fail despite foreign aid, and despite the fact that most of them have everything they would need to succeed and thrive.

    One of my concerns, both before and after the election, is that we've gotten ourselves into a situation where, for better or for worse, there are a lot of unqualified voters who are voting just for the sake of voting. FSM's Michael Sall has an excellent piece that does an excellent job of summing up my thoughts on the subject, although he doesn't quite come to the point of calling for the repeal of the Twenty-Fourth Amendment. In other domestic news, Governor Mitt Romney, someone I don't much care for, has written an awesome op-ed about the proposed auto industry bailout that I agree with wholeheartedly. Both of these, and that BBC article, are worth reading.

    And that's it! Come back tomorrow for more excellence from The Fly, and have a great day.
  • Fly Report: 25th November 2008

    Good morning. There is a place where we can leave behind all of those simple minds, they would not like the way we live.

    It's 4° Centigrade and partly cloudy in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 53° Fahrenheit with partial clouds.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $52.19. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 8443.39. The exchange rate is $1.52 for £1, or £0.66 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is cool, but not a picture. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 4. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    And you give yourself away.

    24 November 2008

    Return of the Zombies

    I hope that everyone had a most excellent weekend. I spent mine writing, running a few errands, hanging out with Young David, cleaning my nine, and sleeping - lots of sleeping. Here are a few items.

    Remember how the election of Barack Obama was going to solve all of our problems with terrorists? Remember how the election of this fresh, vibrant young politician would end the War on Terror? Apparently not: Ayman al Zawahiri has called Obama a "house negro". Ouch. Here are the links: BBC, UPI, AP, Times. Whatever criticisms people level at President Bush, the least they can say is that he scared the shit out of the terrorists (and the French), eh?

    American forces in Iraq have arrested a senior Iranian commando who was using the cover of repairing religious sites to smuggle weapons into the country. The good news is that they caught the guy. In other good news from Iraq, Swedish truck and bus manufacturer Scania has signed a deal to reopen a factory in Iraq. In other Middle Eastern news, international analysts predict a high likelihood of Yemen coming apart at the seams as its oil resources dry up.

    Did you see The Dark Knight last Summer? Did you enjoy it? If so, you'll probably love The Editing Room's condensed version. Hilarious.

    And, in more Obama-related news, I present this clip from America's finest news source:


    Obama Win Causes Obsessive Supporters To Realize How Empty Their Lives Are

    Excellent, and true, as I pointed out back in September! That's it for today, check back tomorrow.

    Fly Report: 24 November 2008

    Good morning. Yes he knows all those women who scheme, they're just pretty pictures in the pretty machine.

    It's 7° Centigrade and partly cloudy with wind in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 51° Fahrenheit with sunshine.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $48.59. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 8046.42. The exchange rate is $1.48 for £1, or £0.67 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is cool. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 3. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    Still lookin' for the sound that's gonna drown out the world.

    23 November 2008

    Stuff Fly Wants: November 2008

    Note: I'm posting this a few days early this month, but since I keep forgetting to post it in the first place, I figure that it'll work - especially since I have a number of things to post this week. Followers of the SFW list will note that there are several items that have been removed in this month's incarnation - great success!

    Field Gear
  • British special forces style rucksack (available at Silverman's in London, item number 35116) - £89.99
  • British SAS smock (available at Silverman's in London, item number 22001) - £90.00
  • British Desert DPM trousers and shirt
  • MARPAT Desert Utilities - $67.90
  • Six Color Desert Utilities - $39.90
  • Tiger Stripe Utilities - $39.90
  • Khaki Tru-Spec Tactical Response Uniform trousers (2) - $89.80
  • Sand Crye Precision R6 Field Pants - $105.00
  • UDT/SEAL Team Swimmer Trunks (2) - $71.90
  • Multicam Hunting Shirt - $27.95
  • U.S. Army ACU tan sweat-wicking uniform T-shirts (3)
  • Under Armour Cold Gear
  • Carhartt Double Front Logger Dungarees (2) - $93.00
  • 5.11 Tactical Polos (3) - $119.97
  • Rubbermaid 48 Gallon ActionPackers (2) - $69.99
  • FN FAL
  • Bushmaster Standard Armorer's Kit - $85.95

    Miscellaneous Clothing
  • Royal Marines T-Shirt - £10.96
  • More Cowbell T-Shirt - $17.99
  • Position Wanted: Pope T-Shirt - $20.00
  • RvB Sarge shirt - $16.95
  • RvB Sarge beanie - $15.00
  • Clan Cleland tartan kilt and kilt pin - $400.00-$700.00

    Household Items
  • Union Jack
  • Amazing Pasta Maker - $39.95 [click me]
  • Fouled Anchor lapel pin - $3.00
  • Walther PPK
  • Orkney satellite map
  • Britain and Ireland Map - $10.99
  • Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East Map - $10.99
  • Roman Mainz Gladius
  • The Maxim Coffin Coffee Table - $4135.00
  • Stikfas Assault Team - $22.99 (Amazon price $20.99)
  • Pawleys Island Tri-Beam Hammock Stand - $140.00
  • Pawleys Island Beach Quilted Hammock - $222.00 (Amazon price $184.36)
  • Discipline poster - $19.95
  • book case

    Books
  • Travels of ibn Battutah - $18.00
  • Bravo Two Zero by Andy McNab - $7.99
  • Contact Zero by David Wolstencroft - $7.99

    Entertainment
  • Best of Chris Isaak (CD & DVD) - $24.98 (Amazon price $22.99)
  • James Bond Ultimate Collection - Volumes 1, 2, 3, and 4 - $359.92 (Amazon price $234.52)
  • 24 - Seasons 1, 2, 3, and 4 - $269.92 (Amazon price $154.53)
  • Space Above and Beyond - Complete Series - $41.99 (Amazon price $36.98)
  • Reno 911! - Season 2 - $39.98 (Amazon price $31.99)
  • Kids in the Hall - Seasons 1, 2, 3, and 4 - $179.90 (Amazon price $155.98)
  • Gladiator Extended Edition - $39.98 (Amazon price $29.99)
  • Apocalypse Now Redux
  • Gattaca - $14.94 (Amazon price $10.99)
  • Mars Attacks! - $9.98
  • Switchfoot - Nothing is Sound - $18.99 (Amazon price $13.99)
  • Switchfoot - The Legend of Chin - $11.98
  • Stephanie Schneiderman - Live at Kung Fu Bakery - $15.98
  • Mystical Chants of Carmel by the Carmelite Monks - $18.95
  • RvB Box Set - $69.00
  • 22 November 2008

    The Fly Reviews Quantum of Solace

    I love spies. No, let me rephrase that: I love James Bond. Sure, I was able to tolerate two of my least favorite actors, Robert Redford and Brad Pitt, when they starred in Spy Game. Vin Diesel was decent in xXx, but I didn't even bother seeing the sequel when he folded and they replaced him with Ice Cube. Ben Affleck as Jack Ryan? Please. None of them hold a candle to James Bond.

    I'm more than just that guy who claims to be a Bond nut, then ignores the franchise for two or three years between movies. In college, I set a goal of watching every Bond flick, in order, in a year. During the course of that year, I would have "Spy Night" parties, where my friends and I would barbecue steaks, drink beer, and watch a comedy spy flick (like Johnny English or Spies Like Us), followed by whichever Bond movie I was on in the rotation. I'm one of only a handful of people in my generation who can identify George Lazenby by name, as opposed to just calling him "that one guy who only got in one Bond flick before they canned him" - and in fact, On Her Majesty's Secret Service is my favorite James Bond adventure of all time.

    Ian Fleming's literary adventures featuring the legendary spy mark specific milestones in my life. I read Live and Let Die in August of 2004, when I was living in England. Fleming's collection of short stories, Octopussy and The Living Daylights, distracted me during several evenings at a local coffee house back home, while I was looking for my first post-college job. The second book I read after moving to California was Moonraker, and when work took me to Georgia for a month, I read Diamonds Are Forever. The first book I finished upon arriving in Virginia was Doctor No. I remember those times vividly, thanks in part to their coincidence with the adventures of Commander Bond, the intrepid MI6 agent.

    Because of my love for nearly all things Bond, I was aghast at Pierce Brosnan's final outing as the beloved spy (I refuse to even name the movie here, it was so terrible). It wasn't because of Brosnan himself - on the contrary, to borrow a phrase from the franchise, he performed the living daylights out of the role. I was aghast because everything else about the film was so completely ridiculous that it totally undermined the preceding decades of literary and cinematic excellence. Brosnan's last Bond film was so bad that, even though I'd loved Brosnan in the role, I understood the necessity of a "reboot" of the series with a new actor and a new direction in order to save James Bond from a premature death.

    I was skeptical when Brosnan's replacement was announced for the role. I had hoped for either Jude Law or Ewan MacGregor, but because it was James Bond, and because I needed to get the bitter taste of the previous travesty out of my mouth, I decided that I'd reserve judgment. In November of 2006, I took a chance on a blond dark horse named Daniel Craig, and I was blown away. Casino Royale was not only a faithfully updated adaptation of the original Bond novel that introduced me to the series, it was excellent enough to rival the sole Lazenby film. This film became a hallmark of the only Winter I would spend in California, and I saw it three times - twice in one day, in fact. With a superb cliffhanger ending, I waited restlessly to watch Daniel Craig as he portrayed everyone's favorite espionage poster boy in his quest for revenge, while simultaneously demonstrating Bond's transition from brutal assassin to calculating professional spook. No herd of wild horses in the Union could have kept me away from the theater on the opening night of Quantum of Solace.

    What a ripoff.

    Now, I'll be gracious and objective and acknowledge that Quantum of Solace was not as bad as the Brosnan Film that Can't be Named, nor was it as bad as the worst Bond flick ever, View to a Kill (in which Roger Moore spends most of the movie wearing a "creepy old man" leather jacket, the Bond girl is a blithering idiot, and Christopher Walken as the villain is completely and totally wasted). Even so, Quantum of Solace was a severe disappointment.

    Let's start with the most extraneous and trivial of the main talking points about every Bond film: the Bond girl. There are two in this film, and both are poorly employed. The primary Bond girl is played by Ukrainian actress Olga Kurylenko. Sadly, the most compelling elements of Kurylenko's foray into 007 history came during the media promotions for the film, when she was derided by Soviet nationalists and said in an interview that she doesn't care to do love scenes. Why a Ukrainian actress was retasked to play a Bolivian intelligence agent is beyond me, but a good love scene between Craig and Kurylenko - heck, between Bond and anyone - would have improved this film. The closest we get is a brief encounter between Bond and Gemma Arterton, whose beauty and charm are insufficiently utilized during the course of her limited screen time. Her death, a tip of the hat to Goldfinger, is an undeserved move by director Marc Forster. Unfortunately, the lackluster Kurylenko (and her bizarre "burn scar", a shoddy attempt at foreshadowing) are unconvincing as a Bolivian spy motivated purely by revenge. As far as Bond girls go, Quantum of Solace might have done better to leave them out entirely.

    Part of the beauty of 007 films is that they involve confrontations between someone who is good, even when conflicted and damaged, against individuals or organizations who are inherently bad, and ruthlessly potent. The primary villain in Quantum of Solace is a weakling named Dominic Greene (played by Frenchman Mathieu Amalric), whose accomplishments in the movie are using an environmentalist development facade to hide his real agenda, and cutting off the water supply for a bunch of poor Bolivian villagers. This somehow allows him to assist a rogue general in forcing a coup d'etat (as if the end of the Evo Morales regime would be bad for Bolivia), as well as allowing for a nebulous connection to bent CIA agents whose only motivation seems to be securing rights to untapped Bolivian oil. The CIA agents are an undeniable representation of the director's warped perception of America as corrupt, with a myopic fixation on petroleum - a popular sentiment with leftists, but unrealistic, and unworthy of a Bond film. Gone are the days when 007 teamed up with the ranks of CIA agents like Felix Leiter and Jack Wade as equal partners - Jeffrey Wright's portrayal of Felix Leiter as a rogue agent who turns on his corrupt comrades to do the right thing and help Bond is small consolation. Auric Goldfinger, Hugo Drax, Ernst Stavro Blofeld, these were Bond villains. Even Gustav Graves, the over-the-top villain from the Brosnan Film that Can't be Named, is a better and more convincing nemesis than anyone we see in Quantum of Solace.

    Perhaps the most ridiculous line in the entire film comes near the end, following the obligatory Hollywood criticism of American operations in the Middle East. As Greene and his cronies receive euros instead of dollars, one of the villains quips that "the dollar isn't what it used to be." Unfortunately for the producers, the movie premiered on a day in which the dollar was the strongest against the euro and the British pound that it's been since at least 2003. The joke's on them, not only for their timing of a line deriding the greenback, but also because betting on anti-American sentiment is a questionable tactic for securing repeat viewings of a movie from millions of American movie-goers, not to mention DVD sales.

    I realize that his is a tough concept for Hollywood to swallow, but would it be so terribly difficult to see James Bond, beloved champion of all things Western, fighting a Middle Eastern terrorist in some exotic city like Algiers, Dubai, Tripoli, Damascus, or even Tehran? 007 has already been to Azerbaijan (The World is Not Enough, 1999) and Egypt (The Spy Who Loved Me, 1977), so we know that he knows that the region is there. In the past, he's even teamed up competing agents, such as KGB Major Anya "Triple X" Amasova (Barbara Bach, The Spy Who Loved Me) or Chinese spy Wai Lin (Michelle Yeoh, Tomorrow Never Dies, 1997), so it's not out of the realm of possibility that he could team up with some beautiful mukhabarat agent from Amman, Beirut, or even Tripoli, in order to stop some al Qaeda affiliate from doing something nefarious that would impact both the UK and the Middle East. They could even work in some popular lines about the terrorists "undermining a peaceful religion". Maybe Eon Productions should have their people call my people?

    Daniel Craig is an excellent James Bond. His performance in Casino Royale was top notch, and he is rightfully described as a competitor for the top Bond actor ever - face it, Connery fans, it's the truth, and if most of you had read any of the novels, you'd know that. Only after he has completed his run will we know for sure, but he certainly won't take his place at the top if he keeps getting lousy scripts like these. Craig's performance elevates Quantum of Solace from wretched to tolerable. Indeed, the only truly compelling element of the entire plot is Bond's quest to find his own solace by seeking justice against those who engineered the events that led to Vesper Lynd's death in the previous film. If this film is worth seeing in theaters, even once, it's for the character development of Craig's particular flavor of Bond, and nothing else. Even this has its weak points, such as the subplot of whether or not M (played once again in spectacular fashion by the brilliant Dame Judi Dench) should trust Bond - a sequence that wastes the acting prowess of both Craig and Dench by retreading both lines and themes that worked well for Casino Royale, to little tangible effect for the flow of this film.

    This brings up yet another criticism of the film: its reliance on the events of the previous episode. One of the hallmarks of the Bond franchise is that, almost without exception, an uninitiated viewer can watch and enjoy any given Bond film with little or no knowledge of 007's previous adventures. Quantum of Solace not only violates this rule by relying heavily on the events of Casino Royale for any semblance of comprehensibility, but the eventual fate of sometimes-ally René Mathis confuses the events of the prior film. Quantum of Solace concludes with yet another cliffhanger, poorly crafted by comparison to its predecessor, suggesting that it's meant to be the second of three installments. Cinema fans and 007 junkies alike will wonder if the next film will further tarnish Daniel Craig's tenure as James Bond in the same way that great and recent films like The Matrix and Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl were tarnished: by coupling a truly excellent standalone film with a pair of half-cocked sequels to make a disappointing trilogy. For the sake of Daniel Craig's career, and his legacy as James Bond, I hope this isn't allowed to happen.

    Since 007 first came alive on the pages of a 1953 novel by Ian Fleming, through the Connery, Moore, Dalton, and Brosnan years, both during and following the Cold War, James Bond has been a hero to all who count themselves as beneficiaries of Western Civilization. No matter what the exotic backdrop, who the beautiful woman, or what the dangerous mission was, on paper or on screen, James Bond has always had a clear view of who his allies were, and who his enemy was. These qualities made Bond a hero to the members of every generation that knew him, because they could see themselves in his shoes, fighting the world's real evils alongside virtuous allies. It is for these reasons that Bond is described as "what every man would like to be, and what every woman would like to have between her sheets." Quantum of Solace, in addition to its other sins, undermines this consistency and clarity; in doing so, it undermines the very things that make 007 so heroic to so many fans. One can only hope that those responsible for bringing him to life will learn their lesson, and avoid making the same mistake twice.

    21 November 2008

    Wherein The Fly is Pathetic

    Ladies and gentlemen, I'm less than an hour away from going to bed before 18:30 on a Friday night. I have no clue why, but I'm exhausted. I went to bed at 22:30 last night after a marathon writing session. So, yesterday I was up from like, 04:00 to 22:30, which must be about eighteen and a half hours. This morning, I got up at 05:30, and I'm going to bed... Uh... Like, you know, thirteen hours later. On a Friday night. That's really, really sad.

    I'm going to try to keep this weekend somewhat low key. I want to spend part of Saturday writing, maybe (finally) hit the pool, and run a couple of errands. I also need to do some cleaning. Sunday will be mostly consumed by church-related activities. Oh, and at some point, I want to shave my head again. It's been way too long. I've got an article about Afghanistan in the hopper, and I got a little bit of work done on one of the spy novels today, so hopefully I can crank a little bit more out tomorrow.

    Yep, okay. The Fly's going to bed now. G'night, folks.

    Getting to Know your Pirate Menace

    Note: Do you ever stumble upon your very own White Whale? Which is to say, something you just can't give up until you've killed it dead, even if it consumes you in the process? I've had two of them this week, both of which started out as blog posts, and one of which is now an article. What I thought I could finish up by early evening ended up taking me about five and a half hours to finish last night, so it's Friday's post, and I ought to be back to regular blogging on Monday. I hope everyone has an excellent weekend, and if you're bored at home then swing by, because I may post another couple of items. For now, though, I've submitted this to my parallel writing endeavour, and I'm going to get rolling.

    A mere handful of journalists and analysts have been paying attention to the rising tide of piracy in the Gulf of Aden and the Arabian Sea over the last five years. Over the last several months, Somali pirates have not only increased the frequency of their attacks, but their attacks have increased in boldness. In addition to capturing cargo ships, yachts, and even attempting to capture a cruise ship in 2005, the pirates' most noteworthy prizes in recent months have included:

  • a Ukrainian ship, captured in September, that carried more than thirty T-72 tanks, other miscellaneous arms, and a "substantial quantity of ammunition" (BBC, Wired)
  • a Saudi supertanker, captured earlier this week nearly five hundred miles of the Kenyan port of Mombasa, carrying more than $100 million worth of petroleum (Guardian, Times)

    Attacks such as these had, until recently, gone virtually uncontested. However, with the capture of the Ukrainian ship, the international community finally seems to have had enough. In recent months, a number have nations have started to fight back.

  • In April, French commandos raided a pirate group after they released thirty hostages from a hijacked luxury yacht.
  • In September, French commandos killed one pirate and captured six while rescuing a French couple who had been captured by pirates while sailing in the Gulf of Aden.
  • Later in September, a security team about USNS John Lenthall, a US Navy oiler, fired warning shots to stop a pirate raid.
  • In November, Royal Marines aboard HMS Cumberland shot and killed two pirates who were trying to seize a Danish ship. (BBC, Guardian)
  • Earlier this week, the Indian warship INS Tabar destroyed a pirate "mother ship" between Somalia and Oman. (CNN, BBC, Times)

    An excessively stretched US Navy task force has stood a lonely watch over the last two years in an attempt to stem the tide of piracy. Unfortunately, lucrative ransoms paid to pirates in exchange for the release of people, ships, and expensive cargo loads have encouraged pirates more than the threat of apprehension has deterred them. Several nations have stepped up to provide forces for the growing de facto international flotilla.

  • Following the capture of two Malaysian tankers in August, the Malaysian navy has sent three warships loaded with troops and helicopters.
  • Following the capture of the T-72 tanks, the European Union pledged to form an anti-piracy task force.
  • Royal Navy ships involved in the task force have been given additional authority and allowances by the British government.
  • India, a country heavily impacted by piracy, has sent its own contingent to protect Indian and foreign shipping in the region.

    Perhaps the most surprising addition to the flotilla has been the Russian contingent, which has fought the pirates in alongside the other contributing nations in several operations. One can only imagine the tension between the Russians and the Europeans and Americans, given both Russian aggression against Georgia in recent months, and the intensely public disintegration of the Russian navy in recent years. International naval forces aren't the only organizations pitching in: even private security companies like Blackwater Worldwide are prepared to join the fight. (AP, Wired) Blackwater purchased and refurbished the MacArthur, turning it into a sort of floating security base over the course of the last year. Beyond the actual suggestion that security contractors might be called upon to engage the pirates, Blackwater Maritime Solutions and other companies of its type could fill a lucrative need for escort through the Gulf of Aden.

    So, who is actually trained to fight engagements such as these? Noteworthy maritime special forces include the US Navy SEALs, the British Special Boat Service, the German Kampfschwimmer unit and GSG 9, and the Russian Naval Spetsnaz. Unfortunately, the SEALs, SBS, and sibling units are already stretched thin in Iraq and Afghanistan, while the German and Russian units are not sufficiently resourced to carry out any more than a few pinprick attacks. Even so, a Ukrainian sailor who was captured on the ship carrying the tanks reportedly all but begged for the SEALs to come save him and his fellow hostages.

    Piracy largely subsided under the Islamic Courts Union, a radical Islamist organization that took control of much of Somalia in 2006. However, due to their alleged ties to terrorist organizations such as al Qaeda, and their increasingly aggressive posturing against largely Christian Ethiopia (its neighbor to the east), Ethiopian troops swiftly invaded Somalia in late 2006. The limited stability offered by the ICU evaporated quickly once it was deposed, and Somalia has deteriorated accordingly. Recent Somali history consists of stonings and cross-border car bomb and suicide attacks in the semi-autonomous regions of Puntland and Somaliland, and events such as these are scarcely different than the chaos in Somalia from the early 1990's on. After the ultimate failure of UN-mandated humanitarian and peacekeeping operations to change the course of Somali history, the international community has been unwilling to violate Somali sovereignty, or risk the lives of peacekeeping forces, to end Somalia's tenure as a failed state.

    Although some would blame Ethiopia (and, by extension, its Western backers) for the recent rise in piracy, recent Somali history would seem to suggest otherwise. Aside from ignoring the cooperation of pirates with Islamist rebels, those who would blame Ethiopia or the West for the chaos and resulting piracy would do well to remember the Taliban, an organization whose origins were chillingly similar to those of the Islamic Courts Union. Instead of ushering in an age of stability and rebuilding an embattled Afghanistan, the Taliban's initial success at crushing corruption, chaos, and injustice after the Afghan Civil War quickly gave way to their own style of corruption, coupled with state sponsorship and hospitality for international terrorism, destruction of priceless antiquities, indiscriminate vigilantism against their own citizens on nonsensical charges, and mismanagement leading to an epic humanitarian crisis. Had the Islamic Courts Union continued to consolidate its power, they would have likely resorted to piracy anyway, in much the same way that the Taliban resorted to opium cultivation. Even without the degree of success and control that the Taliban once enjoyed in Afghanistan, Western analysts have already identified Somalia and Sudan as a sort of "new Afghanistan" - and a preferred safe haven of an al Qaeda on the run. (BBC, Times) Simply ignoring the ICU would have exacerbated this development, vice preventing it.

    The solution of a stable, comprehensive, effective, internationally recognized central Somali government is obviously a pipe dream at present. In the mean time, the only present solution is a continuous threat of force against the pirates, with an inevitable employment of that force in the event that the pirates attempt to hijack more ships. Michael White, writing for the Guardian, points out that it has become obvious that the pirates have pushed their luck too far (although the author's flimsy comparison of Francis Drake to Osama bin Laden holds little water). Even so, it took the diversion of shipping around the Cape of Good Hope and the threat of a de facto closure of the Suez Canal for the nations of the world to decide that it was time to act.

    Students of history will remember that piracy always thrives in times or regions in which a strong naval power is absent. With a great deal of Western naval supremacy sitting in and around the Persian Gulf, or off the coast of Pakistan in support of operations in Afghanistan, what is the state of the rest of the world's navies? The Royal Australian Navy made news this week by announcing that it would be taking what amounts to a two month holiday for Christmas in a bid to bring in more recruits. (BBC, Guardian) According to the AFP, the Japanese Self Defence Forces are also experiencing recruiting shortfalls. Even the world's merchant fleets are finding it difficult to recruit qualified sailors. These recruiting shortfalls are coupled with limited supplies of sufficiently outfitted warships in the inventories of many countries, most of whom rely on the United States to provide maritime and naval security throughout the oceans of the world.

    Beyond the failure of the Somali state, and the decline of international maritime power, could foreign influence be playing a part in the pirate scourge? One country has an unrivalled history of supporting terrorism in as many forms as possible: Iran. Although analysts and journalists must be careful not to find patterns where there are none, Iran would have a great deal to gain from a surge of international piracy, and Somali pirates would be the ideal choice for an increasingly isolated Iranian regime. Even the prime minister of Somalia's transitional government has suggested the possibility of Iranian support for the country's Islamic militants.

    As motorists have breathed a sigh of relief over the collapse of the oil bubble, and the corresponding collapse of fuel prices, states whose entire economy is based upon oil are in economic free fall, with the two most prominent examples being Iran and Russia. While Russia has both an arms trade and natural gas sales to fall back on, Iran's entire economy relies upon selling the crude oil that its decrepit and mismanaged infrastructure extracts from beneath the desert. Iran even called an emergency OPEC meeting several weeks ago in an attempt to cut production and "stabilize" the price of a barrel of oil at $80.00 per barrel. Iran would have a vested interest in facilitating any event that might push oil prices higher. With its extensive network of terrorist contacts, Iran might also have the means to attempt such a feat by covertly altering global shipping conditions through one of the world's most strategic sea lanes. A review of the increasing frequency and bravado of pirate attacks shows an inverse trend to the collapse of global oil prices. As the Iranian regime's financial straits become more and more dire, could they be trying to facilitate a rebound for oil prices? Far-fetched, yes, but theoretically possible? Perhaps.

    And what of the significance of a Saudi supertanker being hijacked, rather than one from another Gulf state? The Iranian government has recently shored up their military forces on the Persian Gulf island of Abu Musa, an small rock near the Strait of Hormuz whose ownership is disputed between Iran and the UAE. The mini-cold war that the Saudis and the Iranian regime are currently waging against one another throughout the Middle East for the purpose of challenging one another for regional superpower status is well known. Could Iran have been "spotting" for the Somalis, either from their own coast or from Abu Musa, for the purpose of hitting Saudi oil income while trying to push prices for their own oil higher? Such a plan is, of course, unlikely; but is it theoretically possible? Furthermore, hasn't the Iranian regime proven its willingness to stop at nothing in an attempt to improve its position?

    Further, the surge of Somali piracy has led countries from around the world to divert already stretched naval assets to the Gulf of Aden and the Arabian Sea to address the piracy problem. One of the most likely opening moves of any international attempt to isolate a newly nuclear-armed Iran would be a naval blockade. With international naval forces tied up in the Gulf of Aden, attempting to stave off piracy along the Somali coast, a coalition naval blockade against Iran would be even more difficult to accomplish.

    There is also the question of whether or not Iran has provided supplies to Islamist militants, pirates, or both. As mentioned previously, the Somali PM has already accused Iran of supplying the militants with weapons. In addition, a cargo ship seized by pirates in September reportedly made the pirates sick, prompting some to wonder if the ship contained biological or chemical weapons that might have been destined for Somalia in the first place. (The Times of South Africa, Fox) On the other hand, a Iranian ship that the pirates intercepted several days ago contained nearly forty tons of wheat - an unlikely offering, both in substance and amount, from a sponsor to a beneficiary. Again, no conclusive evidence, and extremely limited circumstantial evidence, but enough indicators to make one wonder.

    Whether Iran is covertly pulling strings in Somalia or not, the Iranian regime has a great deal to gain from a surge in Somali piracy, the economic fallout of such a surge, and the inevitable distraction of international maritime security forces dispatched to address it. Meanwhile, even if an international naval flotilla is successful in isolating the pirates, and companies like Blackwater Maritime Solutions provide effective security escort services for commercial ships running through the Suez Canal corridor, the humanitarian and security crisis in Somali seems set to continue into the foreseeable future. Without a clear, comprehensive, and proactive solution to this root cause, Somalia is poised to remain a multi-faceted problem that the world must continually react to.
  • Fly Report: 21st November 2008

    Good morning. Every time my baby smiles at me, I know that it's all worthwhile.

    It's 1° Centigrade and rainy in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 42° Fahrenheit with morning snow, rain, and wind.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $49.07. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 7552.29 - the Fly thinks it may be time to invest again. The exchange rate is $1.48 for £1, or £0.68 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is cool. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 3. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    I was calling out, I was calling out.

    20 November 2008

    The Smell of Natural Uranium in the Morning

    Happy Wednesday, folks. I'm hoping to get some real writing done, and get to work early, so I'm focusing on two topics.

    First to Libya, where Saif al Qaddhafi is preparing to meet with Secretary Rice at some point in the near future. In addition, President Bush and Crazy Uncle Muammar talked on the phone with one another earlier this week. I can't wait until we establish embassies with one another, because at some point in the next five or six years, I would love to go see some of Libya's archaeological sites. Even with these new and cordial relations between Libya and the West, the Libyans are still shopping for their weapons in former Soviet countries. Speaking of Saif, between him meeting with Secretary Rice, and the repeated news briefs about him in the Libyan media, I have no illusions about him actually being "retired" from politics. There's very little doubt in my mind that Colonel Qaddhafi is getting Saif ready to succeed him.

    It's more than a year later, and more and more evidence is coming out to quantify claims that the building that Israel bombed in Operation Orchard was, indeed, a Syrian nuclear facility. The IAEA report on the site claims that the Syrian site resembled a nuclear reactor - aside from the "significant" traces of Natural Uranium (the same fuel used in the North Korean system, a system and fuel that are useful for quietly and efficiently producing Plutonium), the site also had "adequate pumping capacity of cooling water" for a reactor vessel. The Syrians are claiming that the Uranium is residue from Israeli missiles; if the Syrians actually built any of their own equipment, they might understand that Natural Uranium (Uranium that's refined, but neither enriched nor highly enriched) isn't used in conventional munitions like those used to destroy the Syrian facility. I'm sure that the Syrians would probably respond to that critique by claiming that the Israelis spiked their warheads with Uranium. Despite the fact that Western governments seem to be thawing relations with Syria (perhaps to split them off from Iran?), these revelations seem to be making things very interesting.

    Ariadne asked me on Facebook to review the new Bond flick. I don't have the time or the energy to do it at the moment, but I have a couple of Bond-related items to mention. The first is a piece on MSN about Bond gadgets for everyday life. The second is what I considered to be the best part of the new Bond flick, other than Gemma Arterton. What was it? Observe:



    That's right, folks: other than Gemma Arterton, the best part of the new Bond flick was that it was preceded by the new trailer for Star Trek XI. J.J. Abrams could very well botch it, but he'd have to really make an effort to botch it as bad as Marc Forster, Paul Haggis, Neal Purvis, and the rest of the powers that be must have worked to waste the second of only a limited number of movies that they'll ever be able to make with Daniel Craig. Daniel Craig is the best James Bond since George Lazenby, and Craig's talent at the role was completely and totally wasted by this stinker. I'll try to have a review written up by tomorrow.

    Oh, and by the way, if you've ever wondered if domestic violence can be funny - and Gus, I know that means you given your line of work - have a look at one of the latest South Park episodes, entitled Elementary School Musical. I love most South Park episodes, but this was the funniest one I've seen in quite a while. Go watch!

    Alright, that's it for today. Check back tomorrow for more, and have a great Thursday - hey, the week's almost over!

    Fly Report: 20th November 2008

    Good morning. Will someone please feed Taylor Swift a sandwich?

    It's 7° Centigrade and rainy with wind in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 37° Fahrenheit with morning snow.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $51.52. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 7997.28 - all hail Dear Leader, Komrade Chairman Barack! The exchange rate is $1.51 for £1, or £0.66 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is cool. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 2. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    Some days are better than others.

    19 November 2008

    The Strategic Necessity of Mauritania

    Note: This is my latest article for my parallel writing endeavour. I'll have a regular post tomorrow morning, and thanks to Desert Rat Tim, it will include some chicanerific stuff. Enjoy, and check back tomorrow.

    While a great deal of attention remains focused on conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan, and on a handful of other regional fights, analysts and pundits often ignore the relative calm of a handful of strategic countries around the globe. These nations have an impact on both the physical and economic security of the world, yet few know of their importance - and in some cases, their very existence.

    One such nation is Mauritania, an impoverished desert backwater on Africa's northwest coast. Mauritania's population consists of Arabs, as well as several different Berber and West African ethnic groups. With almost no arable land, Mauritania is entirely reliant upon foreign food aid. In the last few years, Mauritania has discovered potential petroleum resources off its coast, but exploitation of these resources has been limited thus far. In addition, Mauritania has recently seen more than its fair share of political turmoil. Mauritania's widespread poverty, combined with the Islamic beliefs of its population, make it a target not only for attacks from al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), but also for radicalization and recruitment.

    As the leading nations of Europe annexed various areas of the world during the 1800s, Mauritania became one of a number of French holdings in North Africa to include Senegal, Morocco, and Algeria. Mauritania gained its independence from France in November of 1960, and what followed was several decades of mismanagement by a series of dictators. The first of these was Moktar Ould Daddah, whose presidency ushered in nearly two decades of iron-fisted rule. His crowning achievement was a temporary and ill-conceived annexation of part of Western Sahara. After three failed years of war against the Polisario Front for control of this territory, Daddah was deposed in a bloodless coup. His successor, Col. Mustafa Ould Mohammed Salek, discontinued the war in Western Sahara and ruled for less than a year before a second coup led to the installation of another member of the junta, Col. Mohammed Mahmoud Ould Ahmed Louly. Like his predecessor, Louly held the presidency for less than a year before the junta replaced him with Mohammed Khouna Ould Haidalla. Haidalla held the presidency for nearly five years, despite one failed coup attempt in 1981 that was allegedly supported by Morocco, and a later attempt sponsored by Libya. While he was outside the country in late 1984, Haidalla's former prime minister, Mouawiyah Ould Sidi Ahmed al Taya, staged yet another coup.

    Taya went on to become Mauritania's longest-serving head of state. Although his rule moved the country from a military dictatorship to a nominally multi-party, democratic system, this was essentially a farce. Taya garnered more than 60% of votes in the 1992 election, and more than 90% in the essentially uncontested election of 1997. In addition to his heavy-handed rule against opposing ethnic groups and Mauritania's Islamists, Taya made several foreign policy decisions that contributed to collapsing sentiment among his subordinates and the Mauritanian populace. After supporting Saddam Hussein during the Persian Gulf War, Taya began to ally himself with the West in the late 1990s. In 1999, Taya made Mauritania the third Arab country to establish full diplomatic relations with Israel. Taya survived several actual and alleged coup attempts in the early ‘90s, in addition to yet another irregular election.

    In Mauritania, coups and coup attempts tend to occur when heads of state are absent. In 2005, a handful of conspirators waited for just such an opportunity. Then, in the initial hours of August, the opportunity presented itself with the death of King Fahd, the ailing monarch of Saudi Arabia. Taya left the country to pay his respects in Riyadh, and a junta led by Colonel Ely Ould Mohammed Vall seized the moment and terminated his presidency. Whereas previous coups had served as vehicles to bestow power upon a handful of conspirators, Vall's coup announced a plan for real and transparent democratic reforms. The ambitious plan called for a constitutional referendum, parliamentary elections, and a general election within two years. The coup was widely supported within Mauritania, and the announcement was greeted with cheering in the streets of the Mauritanian capital, Nouakchott. The international community initially condemned the coup, but this condemnation quickly subsided. The democratic process proceeded with a successful constitutional referendum and parliamentary elections, and was completed with the election of President Sidi Mohammed Ould al Sheikh Abdallahi in March of 2007.

    President Abdallahi, a previously disgraced civil servant, took office as Mauritania was poised to suffer uniquely from deteriorating global conditions. A long-term drought in the Sahara not only threatens to engulf Mauritanian homes, but has combined with rising food prices caused by ethanol production to produce severe food shortages. These shortages have been so pronounced that the Mauritanian government moved to ban some fish exports in October - saving food for Mauritanians, but further reducing the country's already limited income.

    In addition, Abdallahi's term saw several low level but prominent terrorist attacks. In December of 2007, a French family was gunned down by militants outside Aleg, a small town east of Nouakchott. (AP, BBC, London Times) In early February of 2008, gunmen opened fire on the Israeli embassy in Nouakchott. The first attack resulted in the cancellation of the 2008 Dakar Rally due to security concerns.

    These deteriorating conditions culminated in a fresh coup in August, in which General Mohammed Ould Abdelaziz and a team of military officers detained and took power from President Abdallahi and his prime minister, Yahya Ould Ahmed al Waqef. The negative fallout from this coup was immediate. The junta promised elections, but was decisively condemned by the United Nations, the United States, and the European and African Unions. Uneasy about the fallout from the coup, the Israeli government delayed sending a new ambassador to Nouakchott. The AU moved to suspend Mauritanian membership, as the junta left open the possibility that Abdelaziz might run for president in the promised elections. Whether for actual approval, or for fear of reprisal, two thirds of the Mauritanian parliament approved the coup (BBC, Guardian). Prime Minister Waqef was released after several days (AP, BBC), while President Abdallahi remains captive to this day, and has announced that he is not cooperating with the junta as previously reported. Part of the fallout from the coup was that the developed world suspended all non-food aid to the impoverished country in what continues to be an unsuccessful attempt to pressure the coup into returning power to the elected government.

    Terrorists often look for opportunities presented by turmoil in weakly controlled countries, particularly those that are ruled by illegitimate governments. During the course of the 2005 coup, the Salafist Group for Call and Combat had yet to formally join al Qaeda or stage many high profile attacks; actual al Qaeda personnel in the Sahara were on the run from the Operation Enduring Freedom - Trans Sahara task force. However, AQIM had consolidated itself sufficiently by late summer of 2008 to challenge the legitimacy of the Mauritanian junta. Less than two weeks after the junta seized power, AQIM issued a call to arms to the people of Mauritania, calling for them to rise up against the junta. This followed statements by General Abdelaziz claiming that defeating the "terrorist menace" was one of his top priorities.

    The BBC published an article questioning the extent of Mauritania's terror threat at the end of August. Scarcely three weeks later, al Qaeda terrorists kidnapped and decapitated 12 Mauritanian soldiers outside the mining city of Zouerat. Despite claims by Mauritanian officials that the army would act swiftly to prevent the militants from escaping across the border, the soldiers' bodies were found several days later. Although these militants remain at large, the Mauritanian government claims to have busted an al Qaeda support cell operating in and around Nouakchott.

    Many look to General Abdelaziz's past as a harbinger of what his rule might encompass. Abdelaziz was instrumental in protecting President Taya from several coup attempts before helping Colonel Vall to facilitate the August 2005 putsch. While he is widely credited with reducing the previous junta's timeline for democratic transition from two years to nineteen months, he is seen by some as having Nasserist political leanings, similar to those of secular Arab nationalist leaders like Bashar Assad of Syria, Muammar Qaddhafi of Libya, and Saddam Hussein of pre-war Iraq. (This should not be seen as associating him with these leaders, as the extent of his desire to maintain power has yet to be determined.) General Abdelaziz is also perceived to be racially biased, leaving open the possibility for ethnic tension and conflict within the nation.

    So, what will the long-term fallout from the coup entail? With the political inability of the United States and other nations to cooperate with the Mauritanian military, OEF-Trans Sahara operations in Mauritania could become more difficult to coordinate and execute. In addition, sanctions by the international community could continue to prevent Mauritania from exploiting its oil resources. With the encroaching Sahara engulfing homes and preventing citizens from developing the land, the coup could very well exacerbate the already poor condition of the Mauritanian populace.

    Although many believe that a combination of Islamist sentiment, poverty, and illegitimate governance invariably leads to radicalization and insurgency, Mauritania serves as one of several examples that counter such logic. Although Mauritania has produced a handful of terrorists, most notably Abu Hafs al Mauritani (an advisor to Osama bin Laden and leader of the Mauritanian al Qaeda cell) and El Khadim Ould Esseman (suspected leader of AQIM in Mauritania), Mauritanians have shown themselves to be moderate and dispassionate, bordering on apathetic, with respect to politics. Even the country's Islamists, likely the most extreme religious group in the country, joined Prime Minister Waqef's cabinet despite the Abdallahi government's decision to retain full diplomatic ties with Israel. However, even without a strong militant sentiment in the country, a poorly secured, disunited, and impoverished country could well turn not only into a safe haven for AQIM, but also a more fertile recruiting ground than it is currently. Although AQIM would seem to have its work cut out for it, sporadic and spontaneous changes of government do little to hinder terrorist operations.

    Although Mauritania seems unlikely to turn into a mirror of pre-war Afghanistan, any further deterioration of the humanitarian, economic, and security conditions within the country could have far-reaching impacts within and beyond its borders. For these reasons, Mauritania will remain a subject of intense scrutiny by security experts in the West.

    Fly Report: 19th November 2008

    Good morning. Love doesn't exist, that's what I'm trying to tell you guys. And I'm not picking on love, 'cause I don't think friendship exists either.

    It's 11° Centigrade and rainy with wind in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 45° Fahrenheit with afternoon rain.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $52.27. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 8424.75. The exchange rate is $1.50 for £1, or £0.66 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is very cool. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 1. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    And hotness, it sets in; you need some protection, the thinner the skin.

    18 November 2008

    News Flash: Van Wilder Grows Mullet!

    I think that this week's got the makings. Here's some news.

    The French police have arrested Van Wilder. Okay, maybe not, but go look at the guy's picture. Doesn't the guy look like Ryan Reynolds with a mullet and an earring?

    There are a few articles on military topics today - I know, color me surprised. Danger Room has a piece on recent indications that the Army might be seriously considering transitioning away from the M16/M4 - a good move if you ask me, as this weapon system always reminds me of that phrase about what was used to pave the road to Hell. There's a new David Isenberg article from UPI about private security contractors in Iraq. There's also another interesting UPI article about Crazy Uncle Muammar's Eastern European arms shopping spree, something that I discussed last week.

    I talked last week about the discovery of Uranium at the alleged Syrian nuclear facility that the Israelis bombed in 2007. The Syrians claim to be shocked at some claims - not surprising. According to Mohammed al Baradei, head of the IAEA, the nuclear evidence 'is not damning' - unfortunately for al Baradei, his own admission that the Uranium found in Syria isn't enriched Uranium points to North Korean assistance, as the Yongbyon reactor uses natural Uranium to produce Plutonium. The Guardian has an interesting article about Syrian "President" Bashar al Assad, and I ran across an interesting blog post that offers a comparison between the Syrian and North Korean facilities.

    There are a couple of stories in the realm of history, both of them reaching back to my experiences in college. In the Greek isles of the Aegean, they're planning to rebuild the legendary Colossus of Rhodes. In England, a new academic report claims that HMS Mary Rose was sunk by French cannon fire, and not by rough seas and wind as most historians have believed for centuries. If you're ever in Portsmouth, England, HMS Mary Rose and its accompanying museum are very much worth seeing.

    Today's video is the music video for a country song that I can't stop listening to at the moment, "Suds in the Bucket" by Sara Evans.



    Check in tomorrow for my latest article for my parallel writing endeavour, the posting of which will allow me to finish the article about Afghanistan that I'm currently writing. Have a great Tuesday, folks!

    Fly Report: 18th November 2008

    Good morning. When I counted up my demons, saw there was one for every day, I put the good ones on my shoulders, and drove the other ones away.

    It's 8° Centigrade and partly cloudy in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 68° Fahrenheit with sunshine.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $52.86. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 8273.58. The exchange rate is $1.50 for £1, or £0.67 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is very cool. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 1. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    Don't make me stick to my promise... Salome...

    17 November 2008

    Have a Cow, Man

    I hope that everyone had an excellent weekend. Mine wasn't too shabby: I got confirmed at church, finished an article on time, and I think there was some more. Here are a few news stories from last week.

    UPI has a fantastic op-ed piece by Cheryl Benard, detailing why we shouldn't negotiate with the Taliban - at least, not yet. In other terrorism-related news, a recent statement by CIA director Michael Hayden indicates that Osama bin Laden is isolated from al Qaeda as a whole, and concentrating primarily on his own security. (BBC, CNN, Times) The flip-side of Hayden's statement is that he confirms what many of us have been saying for a long time: al Qaeda is putting a lot of its eggs in the North African basket, and increasing numbers of Western-born terrorist recruits are traveling to Pakistan to receive training.

    Speaking of North Africa, and following up on a couple of stories from last week, there's been a mixed reaction to last week's vote in Algeria over the abolition of term limits for the presidency.

    There are a few interesting stories in the world of science. NASA scientists have taken the first picture of a planet outside our solar system (Times, BBC, APOD). Archaeologists working in Syria have uncovered what they believe to be the largest ancient church in Syria at a site in Palmyra, and a Dutchman with a metal detector has found a cache of Celtic and Germanic coins in a field outside Maastricht.

    I love parody videos - some of which I see before I see the original video. Today's one of those days, and the parody is by Remy of GoRemy. I proudly present "Whatever You Like: The Cow Version".



    Nothing more for today. Check back tomorrow, and have a fantastic Monday.

    Fly Report: 17th November 2008

    Good morning. I swear, there are about five single women left on this planet, and they're all in some sort of gossip network with a cadre of my ex-girlfriends.

    It's 4° Centigrade and partly cloudy in Kirkwall. In Cody, the forecast calls for a high of 60° Fahrenheit with partial clouds.

    A barrel of oil is trading at $54.57. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 8496.31. The exchange rate is $1.49 for £1, or £0.67 for $1.

    Today's Astronomy Picture of the Day is very cool. The picture at the Orkneyjar Photoblog is not new.

    Today's scripture reading is Zechariah 1. The Fly is currently reading the U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual, FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5.

    I want you to know that you don't need me anymore.